The UK electoral system First Past the Post (FPTP) was a disadvantage to Reform in the last election but if Reform’s support is over 20%, then FPTP could result in Reform getting over 100 seats.
Can Reform UK party stabilise and professionalise?
Early 2025 saw party infighting between Farage and Lowe. Farage is known to be difficult to work with so Reform’s future success will depend on if the party stabilises and becomes more professional.
Volatile electorate
The UK electoral is now highly volatile, with few having strong attachments to a single party. The UK saw the Tories get a large majority in 2019, then a huge swing to Labour in 2024, and if Labour failed to perform the next general election could result in another electoral shock.
The 2020s are a hyper marginal period in UK politics with over 266 highly marginal seats, whereas it is normally under 100.
STOP REFORM UK 